Thursday, March 31, 2011

Swing States Swinging Against Meat Axe Budget Cuts and Anti-Labor Laws

Polls are showing wide swings of voters away from recently elected Republicans who are charing ahead with budget cuts and dismemberment of collective bargaining for public employee unions.   These polls are holding also for many of the recently elected Republican Congress people and in many states where the politics has been less volatile than the Upper Mid-West States.

In Wisconsin, polls suggest that if there was a do over of the gubernatorial race in which Scott Walker decisively beat Tom Barret, Barrett would easily win by 52%.  Walker's support in union households has dropped from 40% to 33% and Tom Barrett's union household support has jumped from 54% to 64%.  Barrett's support among Republicans has risen to 10%.  In Michigan the new Governor created what people are calling financial martical law, where he can declare a financial emergency in a local government, take it over, and void union contracts.  50% of votes there definitely oppose this and only 33% approve of it.

Voter's are clearly rejecting choices in Ohio and Michigan as well, with hypothetical do over's of the Governors race showing handy Democratic wins. In both Ohio and Michigan voters are expressing disapproval of the collective bargaining measures and massive budget cuts.  

In the House races the situation looks the same. Polls show that of the 50 seats Democrats are targeting Republicans are likely to lose at least 35 of them.   Massive the shift of voters in swing Congressional districts is actually stronger than the swing to Republicans at this stage last time around.

Republicans in Ohio are decisively in trouble with religious voters . Both Catholics and born again Evangelicals are rejecting the new collective bargaining law and the budget cuts by wide margins.

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